Historically, Nov has averaged the highest return (+36.4%); Sep the lowest (-4.6%).
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -10.2%Negative MonthJan 2026: -10.16% | -14.8%Negative MonthFeb 2026: -14.79% | +1.8%Neutral MonthMar 2026: +1.85% | +11.7%Positive MonthApr 2026: +11.69% | -3.4%Negative MonthMay 2026: -3.45% | -20.4%Negative MonthJun 2026: -20.41% | +7.3%Positive MonthJul 2026: +7.27% | +9.3%*Positive MonthAug 2026: +9.34% | β | β | β | β |
| 2025 | +9.6%Positive MonthJan 2025: +9.61% | -17.6%Negative MonthFeb 2025: -17.61% | -2.2%Negative MonthMar 2025: -2.16% | +14.1%Positive MonthApr 2025: +14.12% | +11.1%Positive MonthMay 2025: +11.07% | +2.4%Positive MonthJun 2025: +2.39% | +8.0%Positive MonthJul 2025: +8.05% | -6.5%Negative MonthAug 2025: -6.50% | +5.4%Positive MonthSep 2025: +5.38% | -3.9%Negative MonthOct 2025: -3.95% | -17.5%Negative MonthNov 2025: -17.49% | -3.2%Negative MonthDec 2025: -3.19% |
| 2024 | +0.8%Neutral MonthJan 2024: +0.75% | +43.7%Positive MonthFeb 2024: +43.72% | +16.6%Positive MonthMar 2024: +16.56% | -15.0%Negative MonthApr 2024: -15.00% | +11.3%Positive MonthMay 2024: +11.30% | -7.1%Negative MonthJun 2024: -7.13% | +3.1%Positive MonthJul 2024: +3.10% | -8.7%Negative MonthAug 2024: -8.74% | +7.4%Positive MonthSep 2024: +7.39% | +10.9%Positive MonthOct 2024: +10.87% | +37.4%Positive MonthNov 2024: +37.36% | -3.1%Negative MonthDec 2024: -3.13% |
| 2023 | +39.8%Positive MonthJan 2023: +39.84% | +0.0%Neutral MonthFeb 2023: +0.03% | +23.0%Positive MonthMar 2023: +23.03% | +2.8%Positive MonthApr 2023: +2.78% | -7.0%Negative MonthMay 2023: -7.00% | +12.0%Positive MonthJun 2023: +11.97% | -4.1%Negative MonthJul 2023: -4.09% | -11.3%Negative MonthAug 2023: -11.29% | +4.0%Positive MonthSep 2023: +4.00% | +28.6%Positive MonthOct 2023: +28.55% | +8.8%Positive MonthNov 2023: +8.78% | +12.1%Positive MonthDec 2023: +12.07% |
| 2022 | -16.9%Negative MonthJan 2022: -16.89% | +12.2%Positive MonthFeb 2022: +12.24% | +5.4%Positive MonthMar 2022: +5.43% | -17.2%Negative MonthApr 2022: -17.18% | -15.7%Negative MonthMay 2022: -15.70% | -37.8%Negative MonthJun 2022: -37.77% | +18.0%Positive MonthJul 2022: +17.95% | -14.1%Negative MonthAug 2022: -14.09% | -3.1%Negative MonthSep 2022: -3.08% | +5.5%Positive MonthOct 2022: +5.48% | -16.2%Negative MonthNov 2022: -16.23% | -3.6%Negative MonthDec 2022: -3.62% |
| 2021 | +14.2%Positive MonthJan 2021: +14.18% | +36.3%Positive MonthFeb 2021: +36.31% | +30.5%Positive MonthMar 2021: +30.53% | -2.0%Neutral MonthApr 2021: -1.98% | -35.4%Negative MonthMay 2021: -35.35% | -6.1%Negative MonthJun 2021: -6.14% | +18.8%Positive MonthJul 2021: +18.79% | +13.3%Positive MonthAug 2021: +13.31% | -7.2%Negative MonthSep 2021: -7.16% | +40.0%Positive MonthOct 2021: +40.03% | -7.0%Negative MonthNov 2021: -7.03% | -18.8%Negative MonthDec 2021: -18.77% |
| 2020 | +30.0%Positive MonthJan 2020: +29.98% | -8.0%Negative MonthFeb 2020: -8.03% | -25.1%Negative MonthMar 2020: -25.13% | +34.5%Positive MonthApr 2020: +34.48% | +9.3%Positive MonthMay 2020: +9.27% | -3.4%Negative MonthJun 2020: -3.41% | +23.9%Positive MonthJul 2020: +23.92% | +3.2%Positive MonthAug 2020: +3.16% | -7.7%Negative MonthSep 2020: -7.67% | +27.8%Positive MonthOct 2020: +27.79% | +42.4%Positive MonthNov 2020: +42.41% | +47.8%Positive MonthDec 2020: +47.77% |
| 2019 | -7.6%Negative MonthJan 2019: -7.61% | +11.5%Positive MonthFeb 2019: +11.48% | +6.5%Positive MonthMar 2019: +6.50% | +30.3%Positive MonthApr 2019: +30.33% | +60.2%Positive MonthMay 2019: +60.25% | +26.2%Positive MonthJun 2019: +26.15% | -6.8%Negative MonthJul 2019: -6.76% | -4.5%Negative MonthAug 2019: -4.51% | -13.9%Negative MonthSep 2019: -13.88% | +10.9%Positive MonthOct 2019: +10.92% | -17.7%Negative MonthNov 2019: -17.72% | -5.0%Negative MonthDec 2019: -4.97% |
| 2018 | -27.8%Negative MonthJan 2018: -27.80% | +1.7%Neutral MonthFeb 2018: +1.73% | -32.9%Negative MonthMar 2018: -32.93% | +32.5%Positive MonthApr 2018: +32.51% | -18.9%Negative MonthMay 2018: -18.90% | -14.5%Negative MonthJun 2018: -14.55% | +21.5%Positive MonthJul 2018: +21.49% | -9.5%Negative MonthAug 2018: -9.55% | -5.9%Negative MonthSep 2018: -5.85% | -4.6%Negative MonthOct 2018: -4.65% | -36.4%Negative MonthNov 2018: -36.41% | -6.8%Negative MonthDec 2018: -6.83% |
| 2017 | +0.7%Neutral MonthJan 2017: +0.69% | +21.6%Positive MonthFeb 2017: +21.60% | -9.2%Negative MonthMar 2017: -9.17% | +25.8%Positive MonthApr 2017: +25.76% | +69.6%Positive MonthMay 2017: +69.63% | +8.5%Positive MonthJun 2017: +8.50% | +15.9%Positive MonthJul 2017: +15.90% | +63.6%Positive MonthAug 2017: +63.58% | -7.8%Negative MonthSep 2017: -7.75% | +49.1%Positive MonthOct 2017: +49.09% | +58.2%Positive MonthNov 2017: +58.21% | +38.3%Positive MonthDec 2017: +38.33% |
| 2016 | -14.4%Negative MonthJan 2016: -14.35% | +18.7%Positive MonthFeb 2016: +18.69% | -4.8%Negative MonthMar 2016: -4.79% | +7.6%Positive MonthApr 2016: +7.58% | +18.5%Positive MonthMay 2016: +18.53% | +26.7%Positive MonthJun 2016: +26.71% | -7.2%Negative MonthJul 2016: -7.23% | -7.9%Negative MonthAug 2016: -7.88% | +6.0%Positive MonthSep 2016: +5.95% | +15.0%Positive MonthOct 2016: +14.96% | +6.4%Positive MonthNov 2016: +6.38% | +29.2%Positive MonthDec 2016: +29.24% |
| 2015 | -32.1%Negative MonthJan 2015: -32.08% | +16.9%Positive MonthFeb 2015: +16.92% | -3.9%Negative MonthMar 2015: -3.95% | -3.3%Negative MonthApr 2015: -3.31% | -2.5%Negative MonthMay 2015: -2.52% | +14.3%Positive MonthJun 2015: +14.28% | +8.2%Positive MonthJul 2015: +8.20% | -19.2%Negative MonthAug 2015: -19.18% | +2.6%Positive MonthSep 2015: +2.61% | +33.1%Positive MonthOct 2015: +33.09% | +20.1%Positive MonthNov 2015: +20.10% | +14.1%Positive MonthDec 2015: +14.11% |
| 2014 | +10.1%Positive MonthJan 2014: +10.07% | -33.8%Negative MonthFeb 2014: -33.82% | -16.8%Negative MonthMar 2014: -16.80% | -2.0%Negative MonthApr 2014: -2.05% | +39.3%Positive MonthMay 2014: +39.32% | +2.6%Positive MonthJun 2014: +2.58% | -8.4%Negative MonthJul 2014: -8.37% | -18.5%Negative MonthAug 2014: -18.50% | -19.0%Negative MonthSep 2014: -19.01% | -12.6%Negative MonthOct 2014: -12.57% | +11.7%Positive MonthNov 2014: +11.74% | -15.3%Negative MonthDec 2014: -15.30% |
| 2013 | +49.8%Positive MonthJan 2013: +49.83% | +58.0%Positive MonthFeb 2013: +58.01% | +188.9%Positive MonthMar 2013: +188.88% | +50.2%Positive MonthApr 2013: +50.23% | -7.2%Negative MonthMay 2013: -7.19% | -25.1%Negative MonthJun 2013: -25.11% | +9.8%Positive MonthJul 2013: +9.81% | +27.6%Positive MonthAug 2013: +27.58% | -1.7%Neutral MonthSep 2013: -1.74% | +53.4%Positive MonthOct 2013: +53.38% | +453.6%Positive MonthNov 2013: +453.64% | -33.2%Negative MonthDec 2013: -33.24% |
| 2012 | +20.4%Positive MonthJan 2012: +20.36% | -10.5%Negative MonthFeb 2012: -10.54% | -1.5%Neutral MonthMar 2012: -1.52% | +2.0%Positive MonthApr 2012: +2.03% | +3.8%Positive MonthMay 2012: +3.84% | +29.0%Positive MonthJun 2012: +28.98% | +39.7%Positive MonthJul 2012: +39.70% | +15.3%Positive MonthAug 2012: +15.33% | +16.0%Positive MonthSep 2012: +15.99% | -11.1%Negative MonthOct 2012: -11.08% | +13.5%Positive MonthNov 2012: +13.53% | +7.3%Positive MonthDec 2012: +7.32% |
| 2011 | β | +67.7%Positive MonthFeb 2011: +67.66% | -8.9%Negative MonthMar 2011: -8.86% | +335.2%Positive MonthApr 2011: +335.23% | +154.9%Positive MonthMay 2011: +154.92% | +84.1%Positive MonthJun 2011: +84.10% | -16.8%Negative MonthJul 2011: -16.84% | -32.7%Negative MonthAug 2011: -32.66% | -43.7%Negative MonthSep 2011: -43.72% | -34.7%Negative MonthOct 2011: -34.73% | -10.6%Negative MonthNov 2011: -10.57% | +55.1%Positive MonthDec 2011: +55.13% |
| AvgΒ±SD |
Each cell is the percentage change in closing price from the end of the prior month to the end of this month. The bottom row shows the average return for that calendar month across the selected years, plus or minus one standard deviation β the range that historically contained roughly two-thirds of outcomes. Past monthly patterns are not a forecast of future returns.
This aggregates every month by calendar position β all Januaries together, all Februaries together, and so on β to show whether a given month has leaned positive or negative historically. βSimpleβ counts each month as +1 or β1. βWeightedβ gives larger moves more influence: +2 above +10%, β2 below β10%. With only 16 years of history for this asset, each monthβs score reflects a small number of observations β read it as a historical tendency, not a reliable seasonal pattern.
This tracks a running tally across the assetβs full price history: each month adds or subtracts based on whether it was positive or negative. A rising line means more positive months than negative so far; a flattening or falling line means recent months have leaned negative. This measures historical month-to-month consistency, not expected future performance.
Year-to-date return is calculated by dividing each dayβs closing price by the price on January 1st of that year (or the assetβs first available price if it began trading mid-year). The custom average line shows the mean YTD return at each calendar day across the selected years. The standard deviation band shows the range within which returns have historically fallen β at 1 SD, roughly two-thirds of years; at 2 SD, roughly 95%. Past year-to-date patterns do not predict future returns. The average and standard deviation band are computed from the year set chosen in βAverage fromβ, which is independent of which year lines are displayed. The current in-progress year is excluded from these calculations, since a partial year is not comparable to complete ones. Election-cycle groupings follow the US presidential calendar and are offered only for US and crypto assets.
Rule-based from financial data. Not advice.
Bitcoin is the first and largest cryptocurrency by market capitalisation, designed as a peer-to-peer electronic cash system that operates without any central authority. Its monetary policy is hard-capped at 21 million coins, with new issuance halving roughly every four years.
Bitcoin was introduced in October 2008 by the pseudonymous Satoshi Nakamoto in a whitepaper titled "Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System". The genesis block was mined on 3 January 2009, and Bitcoin has since grown into a global asset held by individuals, corporations, and even sovereign nations.
