Historically, Nov has averaged the highest return (+2.4%); Feb the lowest (-0.4%).
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | +1.7%Neutral MonthJan 2026: +1.73% | +0.2%Neutral MonthFeb 2026: +0.17% | -5.4%Negative MonthMar 2026: -5.38% | +5.4%Positive MonthApr 2026: +5.44% | +4.4%Positive MonthMay 2026: +4.44% | +2.5%Positive MonthJun 2026: +2.52% | +0.3%Neutral MonthJul 2026: +0.32% | +1.9%*Neutral MonthAug 2026: +1.86% | β | β | β | β |
| 2025 | +4.7%Positive MonthJan 2025: +4.70% | -1.6%Neutral MonthFeb 2025: -1.58% | -4.2%Negative MonthMar 2025: -4.20% | -3.2%Negative MonthApr 2025: -3.17% | +3.9%Positive MonthMay 2025: +3.94% | +4.3%Positive MonthJun 2025: +4.32% | +0.1%Neutral MonthJul 2025: +0.08% | +3.2%Positive MonthAug 2025: +3.20% | +1.9%Neutral MonthSep 2025: +1.87% | +2.5%Positive MonthOct 2025: +2.51% | +0.3%Neutral MonthNov 2025: +0.32% | +0.7%Neutral MonthDec 2025: +0.73% |
| 2024 | +1.2%Neutral MonthJan 2024: +1.22% | +2.2%Positive MonthFeb 2024: +2.22% | +2.1%Positive MonthMar 2024: +2.08% | -5.0%Negative MonthApr 2024: -5.00% | +2.3%Positive MonthMay 2024: +2.30% | +1.1%Neutral MonthJun 2024: +1.12% | +4.4%Positive MonthJul 2024: +4.41% | +1.8%Neutral MonthAug 2024: +1.76% | +1.8%Neutral MonthSep 2024: +1.85% | -1.3%Neutral MonthOct 2024: -1.34% | +7.5%Positive MonthNov 2024: +7.54% | -5.3%Negative MonthDec 2024: -5.27% |
| 2023 | +2.8%Positive MonthJan 2023: +2.83% | -4.2%Negative MonthFeb 2023: -4.19% | +1.9%Neutral MonthMar 2023: +1.89% | +2.5%Positive MonthApr 2023: +2.48% | -3.5%Negative MonthMay 2023: -3.49% | +4.6%Positive MonthJun 2023: +4.56% | +3.3%Positive MonthJul 2023: +3.35% | -2.4%Negative MonthAug 2023: -2.36% | -3.5%Negative MonthSep 2023: -3.50% | -1.4%Neutral MonthOct 2023: -1.36% | +8.8%Positive MonthNov 2023: +8.77% | +4.8%Positive MonthDec 2023: +4.84% |
| 2022 | -3.3%Negative MonthJan 2022: -3.32% | -3.5%Negative MonthFeb 2022: -3.53% | +2.3%Positive MonthMar 2022: +2.32% | -4.9%Negative MonthApr 2022: -4.91% | +0.0%Neutral MonthMay 2022: +0.04% | -6.7%Negative MonthJun 2022: -6.71% | +6.7%Positive MonthJul 2022: +6.73% | -4.1%Negative MonthAug 2022: -4.06% | -8.8%Negative MonthSep 2022: -8.84% | +14.0%Positive MonthOct 2022: +13.95% | +5.7%Positive MonthNov 2022: +5.67% | -4.2%Negative MonthDec 2022: -4.17% |
| 2021 | -2.0%Negative MonthJan 2021: -2.04% | +3.2%Positive MonthFeb 2021: +3.17% | +6.6%Positive MonthMar 2021: +6.62% | +2.7%Positive MonthApr 2021: +2.71% | +1.9%Neutral MonthMay 2021: +1.93% | -0.1%Neutral MonthJun 2021: -0.08% | +1.3%Neutral MonthJul 2021: +1.25% | +1.2%Neutral MonthAug 2021: +1.22% | -4.3%Negative MonthSep 2021: -4.29% | +5.8%Positive MonthOct 2021: +5.84% | -3.7%Negative MonthNov 2021: -3.73% | +5.4%Positive MonthDec 2021: +5.38% |
| 2020 | -1.0%Neutral MonthJan 2020: -0.99% | -10.1%Negative MonthFeb 2020: -10.07% | -13.7%Negative MonthMar 2020: -13.74% | +11.1%Positive MonthApr 2020: +11.08% | +4.3%Positive MonthMay 2020: +4.26% | +1.7%Neutral MonthJun 2020: +1.69% | +2.4%Positive MonthJul 2020: +2.38% | +7.6%Positive MonthAug 2020: +7.57% | -2.3%Negative MonthSep 2020: -2.28% | -4.6%Negative MonthOct 2020: -4.61% | +11.8%Positive MonthNov 2020: +11.84% | +3.3%Positive MonthDec 2020: +3.27% |
| 2019 | +7.2%Positive MonthJan 2019: +7.17% | +3.7%Positive MonthFeb 2019: +3.67% | +0.0%Neutral MonthMar 2019: +0.05% | +2.6%Positive MonthApr 2019: +2.56% | -6.7%Negative MonthMay 2019: -6.69% | +7.2%Positive MonthJun 2019: +7.19% | +1.0%Neutral MonthJul 2019: +0.99% | -1.7%Neutral MonthAug 2019: -1.72% | +1.9%Neutral MonthSep 2019: +1.95% | +0.5%Neutral MonthOct 2019: +0.48% | +3.7%Positive MonthNov 2019: +3.72% | +1.7%Neutral MonthDec 2019: +1.74% |
| 2018 | +5.8%Positive MonthJan 2018: +5.79% | -4.3%Negative MonthFeb 2018: -4.28% | -3.7%Negative MonthMar 2018: -3.70% | +0.2%Neutral MonthApr 2018: +0.25% | +1.0%Neutral MonthMay 2018: +1.05% | -0.6%Neutral MonthJun 2018: -0.59% | +4.7%Positive MonthJul 2018: +4.71% | +2.2%Positive MonthAug 2018: +2.16% | +1.9%Neutral MonthSep 2018: +1.90% | -5.1%Negative MonthOct 2018: -5.07% | +1.7%Neutral MonthNov 2018: +1.68% | -8.7%Negative MonthDec 2018: -8.66% |
| 2017 | +0.5%Neutral MonthJan 2017: +0.51% | +4.8%Positive MonthFeb 2017: +4.77% | -0.7%Neutral MonthMar 2017: -0.72% | +1.3%Neutral MonthApr 2017: +1.34% | +0.3%Neutral MonthMay 2017: +0.33% | +1.6%Neutral MonthJun 2017: +1.62% | +2.5%Positive MonthJul 2017: +2.54% | +0.3%Neutral MonthAug 2017: +0.26% | +2.1%Positive MonthSep 2017: +2.08% | +4.3%Positive MonthOct 2017: +4.34% | +3.8%Positive MonthNov 2017: +3.83% | +1.8%Neutral MonthDec 2017: +1.84% |
| 2016 | -5.5%Negative MonthJan 2016: -5.50% | +0.3%Neutral MonthFeb 2016: +0.30% | +7.1%Positive MonthMar 2016: +7.08% | +0.5%Neutral MonthApr 2016: +0.50% | +0.1%Neutral MonthMay 2016: +0.08% | +0.8%Neutral MonthJun 2016: +0.80% | +2.8%Positive MonthJul 2016: +2.80% | -0.2%Neutral MonthAug 2016: -0.17% | -0.5%Neutral MonthSep 2016: -0.50% | -0.9%Neutral MonthOct 2016: -0.91% | +5.4%Positive MonthNov 2016: +5.41% | +3.3%Positive MonthDec 2016: +3.34% |
| 2015 | -3.7%Negative MonthJan 2015: -3.69% | +5.6%Positive MonthFeb 2015: +5.64% | -2.0%Neutral MonthMar 2015: -1.97% | +0.4%Neutral MonthApr 2015: +0.36% | +1.0%Neutral MonthMay 2015: +0.95% | -2.2%Negative MonthJun 2015: -2.17% | +0.4%Neutral MonthJul 2015: +0.40% | -6.6%Negative MonthAug 2015: -6.57% | -1.5%Neutral MonthSep 2015: -1.47% | +8.5%Positive MonthOct 2015: +8.47% | +0.3%Neutral MonthNov 2015: +0.32% | -1.7%Neutral MonthDec 2015: -1.66% |
| 2014 | -5.3%Negative MonthJan 2014: -5.30% | +4.0%Positive MonthFeb 2014: +3.97% | +0.8%Neutral MonthMar 2014: +0.83% | +0.7%Neutral MonthApr 2014: +0.75% | +0.8%Neutral MonthMay 2014: +0.82% | +0.7%Neutral MonthJun 2014: +0.65% | -1.6%Neutral MonthJul 2014: -1.56% | +3.2%Positive MonthAug 2014: +3.23% | -0.3%Neutral MonthSep 2014: -0.32% | +2.0%Positive MonthOct 2014: +2.04% | +2.5%Positive MonthNov 2014: +2.52% | -0.0%Neutral MonthDec 2014: -0.03% |
| 2013 | +5.8%Positive MonthJan 2013: +5.77% | +1.4%Neutral MonthFeb 2013: +1.40% | +3.7%Positive MonthMar 2013: +3.73% | +1.8%Neutral MonthApr 2013: +1.79% | +1.9%Neutral MonthMay 2013: +1.86% | -1.4%Neutral MonthJun 2013: -1.36% | +4.0%Positive MonthJul 2013: +3.96% | -4.4%Negative MonthAug 2013: -4.45% | +2.2%Positive MonthSep 2013: +2.16% | +2.8%Positive MonthOct 2013: +2.75% | +3.5%Positive MonthNov 2013: +3.48% | +3.0%Positive MonthDec 2013: +3.05% |
| 2012 | +3.4%Positive MonthJan 2012: +3.40% | +2.5%Positive MonthFeb 2012: +2.53% | +2.0%Positive MonthMar 2012: +2.01% | +0.0%Neutral MonthApr 2012: +0.01% | -6.2%Negative MonthMay 2012: -6.21% | +3.9%Positive MonthJun 2012: +3.93% | +1.0%Neutral MonthJul 2012: +1.00% | +0.6%Neutral MonthAug 2012: +0.63% | +2.6%Positive MonthSep 2012: +2.65% | -2.5%Negative MonthOct 2012: -2.54% | -0.5%Neutral MonthNov 2012: -0.54% | +0.6%Neutral MonthDec 2012: +0.60% |
| 2011 | +2.7%Positive MonthJan 2011: +2.72% | +2.8%Positive MonthFeb 2011: +2.81% | +0.8%Neutral MonthMar 2011: +0.76% | +4.0%Positive MonthApr 2011: +3.98% | -1.9%Neutral MonthMay 2011: -1.88% | -1.2%Neutral MonthJun 2011: -1.24% | -2.2%Negative MonthJul 2011: -2.18% | -4.4%Negative MonthAug 2011: -4.36% | -6.0%Negative MonthSep 2011: -6.03% | +9.5%Positive MonthOct 2011: +9.54% | +0.8%Neutral MonthNov 2011: +0.76% | +1.4%Neutral MonthDec 2011: +1.43% |
| 2010 | -3.5%Negative MonthJan 2010: -3.46% | +2.6%Positive MonthFeb 2010: +2.56% | +5.1%Positive MonthMar 2010: +5.15% | +1.4%Neutral MonthApr 2010: +1.40% | -7.9%Negative MonthMay 2010: -7.92% | -3.6%Negative MonthJun 2010: -3.58% | +7.1%Positive MonthJul 2010: +7.08% | -4.3%Negative MonthAug 2010: -4.31% | +7.7%Positive MonthSep 2010: +7.72% | +3.1%Positive MonthOct 2010: +3.06% | -1.0%Neutral MonthNov 2010: -1.01% | +5.2%Positive MonthDec 2010: +5.19% |
| 2009 | -8.8%Negative MonthJan 2009: -8.84% | -11.7%Negative MonthFeb 2009: -11.72% | +7.7%Positive MonthMar 2009: +7.73% | +7.3%Positive MonthApr 2009: +7.35% | +4.1%Positive MonthMay 2009: +4.07% | -0.6%Neutral MonthJun 2009: -0.63% | +8.6%Positive MonthJul 2009: +8.58% | +3.5%Positive MonthAug 2009: +3.54% | +2.3%Positive MonthSep 2009: +2.27% | +0.0%Neutral MonthOct 2009: +0.00% | +6.5%Positive MonthNov 2009: +6.51% | +0.8%Neutral MonthDec 2009: +0.80% |
| 2008 | -4.6%Negative MonthJan 2008: -4.63% | -3.0%Negative MonthFeb 2008: -3.04% | -0.0%Neutral MonthMar 2008: -0.03% | +4.5%Positive MonthApr 2008: +4.54% | -1.4%Neutral MonthMay 2008: -1.42% | -10.2%Negative MonthJun 2008: -10.19% | +0.2%Neutral MonthJul 2008: +0.25% | +1.5%Neutral MonthAug 2008: +1.46% | -6.0%Negative MonthSep 2008: -6.01% | -14.1%Negative MonthOct 2008: -14.06% | -5.3%Negative MonthNov 2008: -5.32% | -0.6%Neutral MonthDec 2008: -0.60% |
| 2007 | +1.3%Neutral MonthJan 2007: +1.27% | -2.8%Negative MonthFeb 2007: -2.80% | +0.7%Neutral MonthMar 2007: +0.70% | +5.7%Positive MonthApr 2007: +5.74% | +4.3%Positive MonthMay 2007: +4.32% | -1.6%Neutral MonthJun 2007: -1.61% | -1.5%Neutral MonthJul 2007: -1.47% | +1.1%Neutral MonthAug 2007: +1.10% | +4.0%Positive MonthSep 2007: +4.03% | +0.2%Neutral MonthOct 2007: +0.25% | -4.0%Negative MonthNov 2007: -4.01% | -0.8%Neutral MonthDec 2007: -0.80% |
| 2006 | β | β | β | β | β | -0.2%Neutral MonthJun 2006: -0.16% | +0.3%Neutral MonthJul 2006: +0.32% | +1.7%Neutral MonthAug 2006: +1.75% | +2.6%Positive MonthSep 2006: +2.62% | +3.4%Positive MonthOct 2006: +3.44% | +1.2%Neutral MonthNov 2006: +1.17% | +2.0%Neutral MonthDec 2006: +1.97% |
| AvgΒ±SD |
Each cell is the percentage change in closing price from the end of the prior month to the end of this month. The bottom row shows the average return for that calendar month across the selected years, plus or minus one standard deviation β the range that historically contained roughly two-thirds of outcomes. Past monthly patterns are not a forecast of future returns.
This aggregates every month by calendar position β all Januaries together, all Februaries together, and so on β to show whether a given month has leaned positive or negative historically. βSimpleβ counts each month as +1 or β1. βWeightedβ gives larger moves more influence: +2 above +10%, β2 below β10%. With only 21 years of history for this asset, each monthβs score reflects a small number of observations β read it as a historical tendency, not a reliable seasonal pattern.
This tracks a running tally across the assetβs full price history: each month adds or subtracts based on whether it was positive or negative. A rising line means more positive months than negative so far; a flattening or falling line means recent months have leaned negative. This measures historical month-to-month consistency, not expected future performance.
Year-to-date return is calculated by dividing each dayβs closing price by the price on January 1st of that year (or the assetβs first available price if it began trading mid-year). The custom average line shows the mean YTD return at each calendar day across the selected years. The standard deviation band shows the range within which returns have historically fallen β at 1 SD, roughly two-thirds of years; at 2 SD, roughly 95%. Past year-to-date patterns do not predict future returns. The average and standard deviation band are computed from the year set chosen in βAverage fromβ, which is independent of which year lines are displayed. The current in-progress year is excluded from these calculations, since a partial year is not comparable to complete ones. Election-cycle groupings follow the US presidential calendar and are offered only for US and crypto assets.
Rule-based from financial data. Not advice.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average tracks 30 large, well-established US companies considered representative of the overall US economy. Despite its narrow constituent set, the "Dow" remains the most widely-quoted US equity index in mainstream news because of its long history and headline simplicity.
Created by Charles Dow on 26 May 1896 with just 12 stocks, the Dow is the oldest continuously-running US stock index. It is price-weighted, a higher-priced stock has greater influence than a lower-priced one regardless of company size, a legacy of an era before computers made market-cap weighting practical.
