Module 10: Relative Valuation - Comps & Sum of the Parts
While the DCF is the gold standard, it requires forecasting a decade into the future. Wall Street mitigates this uncertainty by cross-referencing the DCF against Relative Valuation (Comps Analysis). This method values a company based on how the market is currently pricing its direct competitors.
1. Choosing the Peer Group
The validity of Relative Valuation rests entirely on selecting identical peers. If you are valuing Ford, you cannot include Tesla in the peer group; despite both manufacturing cars, Tesla's margins, capital structure, and software revenues dictate an entirely different valuation paradigm.
2. The Key Multiples
- Price/Earnings (P/E): Stock Price / EPS. Quick and intuitive, but heavily distorted by varying tax rates and debt structures across the peer group.
- EV/EBITDA: Enterprise Value / Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, D&A. The definitive multiple for institutional M&A. By evaluating the total enterprise and utilizing operating profit, it entirely neutralizes differences in US state tax jurisdictions and corporate debt loads.
3. Sum of the Parts (SOTP) Valuation
How do you value a massive, complex conglomerate like General Electric or Disney? There is no single "peer" that does exactly what they do. You must use a Sum of the Parts (SOTP) analysis.
- You break the conglomerate into distinct operating divisions.
- You value each division independently against its own specific peer group.
- You sum the distinct valuations together to arrive at a total enterprise value.
Case Study: The Walt Disney Company (SOTP) Valuing Disney using a single consolidated P/E ratio is financially illiterate.
- Analysis: Analysts deploy an SOTP model. They isolate the Disney Parks & Resorts division and value it against theme park operators (EV/EBITDA). They isolate ESPN/Media Networks and value it against legacy cable broadcasters. They isolate Disney+ and value it using a Price/Sales multiple, benchmarked strictly against high-growth streaming platforms like Netflix. Summing these independent valuations yields an accurate intrinsic value for the diverse conglomerate.
Self-Reflection & Assessment
- Why is EV/EBITDA considered a superior valuation multiple compared to the P/E ratio when comparing companies with vastly different debt structures?
- Describe a scenario where an analyst is absolutely forced to utilize a Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuation model.